Stand up for the facts!
Our only agenda is to publish the truth so you can be an informed participant in democracy.
We need your help.
I would like to contribute
NOTE: This is the first in a series where we'll be bringing you fact-checks on the 2016 presidential hopefuls.
Jeb Bush is expected today to join an already long list of Republicans and Democrats hoping to be their party’s 2016 presidential nominee. He has an announcement scheduled this afternoon at a suburban campus of Miami Dade College.
At least a dozen Republicans and a handful of Democrats have either formally announced their candidacy or expressed interest in running to succeed Barack Obama. The best known on the Democratic side, of course, being Hillary Clinton, former first lady and former secretary of state.
Today we begin an occasional series of articles that will look at fact-checks PolitiFact has published on the major candidates.
Sign up for PolitiFact texts
Next up: Hillary Clinton on June 22.
We have fact-checked 40 statement by Jeb Bush, including 10 that were rated True, 12 Mostly True, five Half True, two False, and one Pants on Fire.
See them all at http://www.politifact.com/personalities/jeb-bush/.
Here’s a sample.
Jeb Bush on Monday, Oct.. 27, 2014 in a fundraising letter
Among the developed nations, we are the least economically and socially mobile country in the world."
In a fundraising letter, Jeb Bush said "among the developed nations, we are the least economically and socially mobile country in the world."
His Foundation for Excellence in Education sent us a few stories backing up the claim on a broad level.
We found even more data suggesting that yes, America does lag behind most every developed country in terms of being able to move from the bottom rungs of the income ladder to the top.
Experts also told us it was a fair claim, although we must note there is some disagreement on how mobility is measured and minor differences among studies.
We rated the statement True.
Jeb Bush on Friday, June 14th, 2013 in a speech at the Faith and Freedom Coalition Conference "Immigrants are more fertile."
Speaking at the Faith and Freedom Coalition Conference in Washington, Jeb Bush made a pitch for immigration reform, saying America needs more new workers to help pay for retirees -- "to rebuild the demographic pyramid" as he put it.
"Immigrants are more fertile," Bush said. "And they love families and they have more intact families, and they bring a younger population. Immigrants create an engine of economic prosperity."
Fertility can mean the ability to have children. But it also can refer to the birth rate of a population, which is what Bush’s spokesperson said was the former governor’s intent.
On that front, there is no debate about the numbers. The Pew Research Center reported in 2012 that the birth rate among foreign-born women was nearly 50 percent higher than for U.S.-born women -- 87.8 births per 1,000 women compared with 58.9 births per 1,000 women of prime child bearing age (15-44).
However, the rates are converging, they vary widely among immigrant groups and over the years, the rates change.
Still, Bush’s words were on track.
We rated the statement Mostly True.
Jeb Bush on Wednesday, May 20th, 2015 in a roundtable in New Hampshire
"ISIS didn't exist when my brother was president. Al-Qaida in Iraq was wiped out when my brother was president."
Jeb Bush said that "ISIS didn't exist when my brother [George W. Bush] was President."
He also said: "Al-Qaida in Iraq was wiped out when my brother was president."
There are problems with both pieces of Bush’s claim. Yes, a group called ISIS didn’t exist while his brother was president, but the roots of the organization were indeed present and operating under a different banner.
As far as claiming al-Qaida was "wiped out," most experts consider that a stretch. The group’s power certainly diminished under President George W. Bush, but it wasn’t wiped out.
Jeb Bush’s statement contains an element of truth, but it ignores critical facts that would give a different impression.
We rated this claim Mostly False.
Jeb Bush on Wednesday, November 27, 2013 in a tweet
"Why would our president close the embassy to the Vatican? Hopefully, it is not retribution for Catholic organizations opposing Obamacare."
PolitiFact gave Jeb Bush, who is a Catholic,a Pants on Fire for his tweet "Why would our president close the embassy to the Vatican? Hopefully, it is not retribution for Catholic organizations opposing Obamacare."
The embassy wasn’t closing. It was moving, and there were several reasons for it that had nothing to do with the federal health care law. Consolidating operations at one compound would improve security and save about $1.4 million a year, a State Department official told reporters.
The move had been in the works since George W. Bush -- Jeb Bush’s brother -- was president. Finally, we found no evidence to support the idea that the relocation was related to battles over Obamacare.
We rated the claim Pants on Fire!
Our Sources
Foundation for Excellence in Education, fundraising letter from Jeb Bush, received Oct. 27, 2014
Institute for the Study of Labor, "American Exceptionalism in a New Light: A Comparison of Intergenerational Earnings Mobility in the Nordic Countries, the United Kingdom and the United States," January 2006
Institute for the Study of Labor, "Do Poor Children Become Poor Adults? Lessons from a Cross Country Comparison of Generational Earnings Mobility," March 2006
Brookings Institution, "Economic Mobility of Families Across Generations," November 2007
New York Times, "Harder for Americans to Rise From Lower Rungs," Jan. 4, 2012
New York Times, "The Great Gatsby Curve," Jan. 15, 2012
New York Times, "Equal Opportunity, Our National Myth," Feb. 16, 2013
National Review, "The Great Gatsby Curve: Not So Great After All," Aug. 21, 2013
Businessweek, "The Gatsby Curve: How Inequality Became a Household Word," Dec. 12, 2013
Pew Charitable Trusts, "Economic Mobility and the American Dream: Where Do We Stand in the Wake of the Great Recession," May 19, 2014
Pew Charitable Trusts, "Pew Finds Generation X Facing an Insecure Financial Future," Sept. 18, 2014
Interview with Jaryn Emhof, Foundation for Excellence in Education spokesperson, Nov. 4-5, 2014
Interview with Timothy Smeeding, University of Wisconsin economics professor, Nov. 1, 2014
Interview with Isabel Sawhill, Brookings Institution economist, Nov. 5, 2014
C-SPAN, Gov. Jeb Bush on immigrants, June 14, 2012
Associated Press, Jeb Bush: Immigrants ‘more fertile’ and create more businesses than native-born Americans, June 14, 2011
National Public Radio, Immigrants are more fertile, Jeb Bush says in reform speech, June 14, 2013
Twitter, Tweets on Bush, immigration and fertility
Email interview with Tom Smith, senior fellow, NORC, University of Chicago, June 18, 2013
Email interview with Emilio Parrado, professor of sociology, University of Pennsylvania, June 17, 2013
Email interview with Doug Massey, professor of sociology, Princeton University, June 17, 2013
Interview with Steven Camarota, director of research, Center for Immigration Studies, June 17, 2013
Pew Research Center, U.S. birth rate falls to a record low, decline is greatest among immigrants, November 29, 2012
U.S. Census, Selected Characteristics of native and foreign-born populations in the United States, 2011
National Health Statistics Report, Fertility of men and women aged 15-44 in the United States, April 12, 2012
National Center for Health Statistics, Births: Final data for 2010, August 28, 2012
Population Association of America, Fertility differentials across race-ethnicity and generational status: Incorporating non-Hispanic immigrants, April, 2013
Migration Policy Institute, Mexican and Central American immigrants in the United States, June 2011
Demographic Research, A crossover in Mexican and Mexican-American fertility rates, March 11, 2005
Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, Definition of fertility rate, May 25, 2012
The World Bank, Fertility rate, total, 2008-2012
Twitter, Former Gov. Jeb Bush, Nov. 27, 2013
U. S. Department of State and the Broadcasting Board of Governors Office of Inspector General, "Limited scope inspection of Embassy Vatican City, The Holy See," June 2008
U.S. Department of State, Conference call with senior state department official on the U.S. Embassy to the Vatican, Nov. 25, 2013
U.S. Department of State DipNote blog, "Just the facts: The future U.S. Embassy to the Holy See," Nov. 27, 2013
National Catholic Reporter, "Vatican embassy move draws fire from former US envoys," Nov. 20, 2013
Washington Times, "Obama’s call to close Vatican a ‘slap in the face,’ to Roman catholics," Nov. 26, 2013
Breitbart, "Obama admin moves Vatican embassy, citing security concerns," Nov. 25, 2013
Washington Post The Fact Checker, "The bogus claim that Obama is ‘closing’ the Vatican embassy," Dec. 4, 2013
CNN, "Vatican downplays controversy over U.S. embassy move," Nov. 27, 2013
Interview, Pooja Jhunjhunwala, spokeswoman U.S. Department of State, Dec. 4, 2013
Interview, Stephen F. Schneck, Director, Institute for Policy Research & Catholic Studies The Catholic University of America, Dec. 4, 2013
Interview, Kristy Campbell, spokeswoman former Gov. Jeb Bush, Dec. 4, 2013
Interview, Brad Dayspring, spokesman National Republican Senatorial Committee, Dec. 4, 3013